Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000129 0.000142 0.000157 0.000173 0.000192 0.000212 0.000236
2025-06-29 0.000101 0.000119 0.000141 0.000168 0.000201 0.000240 0.000290
2025-07-06 0.000082 0.000102 0.000128 0.000161 0.000204 0.000258 0.000333
2025-07-13 0.000072 0.000094 0.000122 0.000161 0.000214 0.000286 0.000390
2025-07-20 0.000066 0.000089 0.000119 0.000163 0.000227 0.000316 0.000453
2025-07-27 0.000059 0.000082 0.000114 0.000162 0.000234 0.000339 0.000508
2025-08-03 0.000055 0.000079 0.000112 0.000165 0.000246 0.000369 0.000578
2025-08-10 0.000050 0.000074 0.000108 0.000162 0.000250 0.000388 0.000631
2025-08-17 0.000047 0.000070 0.000104 0.000161 0.000255 0.000409 0.000689
2025-08-24 0.000043 0.000065 0.000100 0.000158 0.000257 0.000424 0.000740
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000061 0.000095 0.000153 0.000255 0.000433 0.000779
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000058 0.000093 0.000154 0.000263 0.000458 0.000853
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000057 0.000092 0.000156 0.000274 0.000493 0.000953
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000053 0.000088 0.000153 0.000275 0.000509 0.001019
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000049 0.000082 0.000146 0.000270 0.000512 0.001057
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000081 0.000147 0.000278 0.000542 0.001160
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000046 0.000080 0.000149 0.000289 0.000581 0.001287
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000044 0.000078 0.000148 0.000293 0.000606 0.001388
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000043 0.000078 0.000150 0.000305 0.000648 0.001536
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000041 0.000075 0.000148 0.000307 0.000669 0.001636
2025-11-09 0.000022 0.000039 0.000073 0.000146 0.000311 0.000693 0.001749
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000144 0.000311 0.000709 0.001842
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000035 0.000068 0.000139 0.000307 0.000714 0.001906